Kitakata Tokubetsu Training Analysis 2026

Kitakata Tokubetsu Training Analysis 2026

── Pre-Race Slope Work × 1-Week-Prior Work × Race-Week Work × WHGR ──

April 12, 2026 (Sun) Fukushima Race 10  |  Dirt 1150m  |  16 runners  |  Post time 14:40

1. Pre-Race Slope Work — Only 1 of 16 Runners

Following the Fukushima Minpo Hai (2 runners), the pre-race slope participation rate at Fukushima remains extremely low. The sole entry was #16 I Am Ichiban (84.7s, exercise level). Pre-race slope data provides no useful signal here.

2. 1-Week-Prior vs. Race-Week — Readiness Comparison

Stable Type (high reliability):

 #1 Xebec — Slope 52.9→52.2★ (−0.7, maintained). WHGR +380★★. Yahagi stable.

 #2 DS Shouma — Slope 52.7→52.3 (−0.4, maintained)

 #7 Third Wind — Slope 55.0→55.0 (±0.0, perfectly stable)

 #14 Centaur Beast — Slope 51.4★→54.8 (ease-off). Fastest of all 1 week prior.

Improving Type:

 #4 Hiru-no Pyrenees — Slope 54.9→52.6 (−2.3)

 #8 Immersion — Slope 58.1→56.8 (−1.3). WHGR +200. Takano Tomokazu stable.

Race-Week Rush Type:

 #10 Fresh Run — Slope 66.7→51.6 (fastest of all★★) (−15.1)

 #3 Pearl Front — Slope 66.4→52.6 (−13.8). Terashima Ryo stable.

3. B-4 Pattern vs. WHGR — The #6 Morino Sepia Contradiction

#6 Morino Sepia (Miku Kobayashi × Nobuhiro Suzuki stable)

■ B-4 Pattern: Suzuki stable OOS recovery rate 240%★ → confirmed buy target.

■ WHGR Combined: −100 → negative territory.

■ Slope: only 67.9 one week prior. No race-week slope data → adjusted via Wood 68.1.

→ Pattern says Buy, WHGR says Sell. The day after jockey Kobayashi landed a 2,980-yen win bet on 4/11. Do you follow the pattern’s continuity, or respect the WHGR headwind?

4. Overall Assessment

# Horse Readiness WHGR Pattern Overall
1 Xebec Stable 52.9→52.2★ +380★★ Yahagi stable A
4 Hiru-no Pyrenees Improving 54.9→52.6 +90◎ B+
14 Centaur Beast Peaked 51.4★→54.8 relaxed +90◎ B+
6 Morino Sepia No slope (Wood 68.1) −100 B-4 confirmed 240%★ B+ (pattern buy)
10 Fresh Run Rush 66.7→51.6 fastest★★ −210 B (training ◎ WHGR ✗)

Conclusion

1. #1 Xebec (Naho Furukawa × Yahagi stable) — Stable type 52.9→52.2 + WHGR +380, top of the field. The most reliable runner with dual confirmation from training and WHGR.

2. #6 Morino Sepia (Miku Kobayashi × Suzuki stable) — B-4 confirmed buy target (240%★). WHGR is −100, in the red, but following a 2,980-yen win by Kobayashi the day before. A race to bet on the pattern’s continuity.

3. Pre-race slope work at Fukushima again fails to provide signal (1 of 16, exercise level). At Fukushima, “1-week vs. race-week readiness” and “WHGR + pattern” are the key decision axes.

4. The fastest race-week slope belongs to #10 Fresh Run (51.6s) but with WHGR −210. A case where training time alone cannot carry the recommendation.


Training time data sourced from JRA-VAN Data Lab.
This article does not constitute a recommendation to purchase betting tickets. All wagering is at your own risk.

White & Green Co., Ltd. / TigerProtocol WHGR System v2.1

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