Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Nakauchida Mitsuru Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 69.8%. Turf 75% / Dirt 25% split. 2026 active jockeys: Kosei Miura 中井裕二 Yuiga Kawada Keita Tosaki Takeshi Yokoyama 菅原明良 Junya Nishimura.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m68 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 16.2%Place%: 25.0%Show%: 30.9%ROI: 63.7%
💡 中井裕二 stand out with ROI of 392.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 30.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 中井裕二 | 5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 392.0% |
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 24 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 62.5% | 67.1% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Turf1401~1800m258 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 21.3%Place%: 34.9%Show%: 46.5%ROI: 67.4%
💡 Junya Nishimura also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 46.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Junya Nishimura | 36 | 22.2% | 36.1% | 52.8% | 92.8% |
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 82 | 29.3% | 48.8% | 58.5% | 74.0% |
| ▲ | 中井裕二 | 16 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 37.5% | 63.1% |
| ▲ | Kosei Miura | 11 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 60.9% |
Turf1801~2200m148 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 23.0%Place%: 37.8%Show%: 46.6%ROI: 99.9%
💡 Yuiga Kawada also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 46.6% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Yuiga Kawada | 61 | 36.1% | 45.9% | 59.0% | 88.7% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 28 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 50.0% | 55.7% |
| × | Kosei Miura | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Turf2201m+64 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 21.9%Place%: 39.1%Show%: 46.9%ROI: 69.8%
💡 Yuiga Kawada stand out with ROI of 113.3%. Primary win bet candidates.Junya Nishimura also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 46.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Yuiga Kawada | 12 | 50.0% | 66.7% | 75.0% | 113.3% |
| ○ | Junya Nishimura | 7 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 82.9% |
Dirt~1400m49 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 16.3%Place%: 32.7%Show%: 42.9%ROI: 43.7%
💡 Junya Nishimura also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 42.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Junya Nishimura | 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 95.0% |
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 19 | 31.6% | 52.6% | 63.2% | 68.9% |
Dirt1401~1800m101 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 13.9%Place%: 26.7%Show%: 38.6%ROI: 55.4%
💡 Overall ROI 55.4%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 22 | 27.3% | 31.8% | 50.0% | 61.8% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 20 | 15.0% | 30.0% | 45.0% | 37.0% |
| × | 中井裕二 | 18 | 5.6% | 38.9% | 50.0% | 17.8% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: 中井裕二 (392.0%)
Overall ROI 63.7% / Show rate 30.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Turf 2201m+
◎ Jockeys: Yuiga Kawada (113.3%)
Overall ROI 69.8% / Show rate 46.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
⚫ Conditions to Avoid
- Dirt 1401~1800m (overall ROI 55.4%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 中井裕二 | Turf ~1400m | 392.0% | 65.8% | Place |
| Takeshi Yokoyama | Turf 1801~2200m | 300.0% | 60.0% | Place |
| 菅原明良 | Dirt 1401~1800m | 143.3% | 71.7% | Place |
| Yuiga Kawada | Turf 2201m+ | 113.3% | 76.4% | Place |
| Junya Nishimura | Dirt ~1400m | 95.0% | 64.1% | Place |
| Kosei Miura | Turf 1401~1800m | 60.9% | 33.5% | Place only |
| Keita Tosaki | 0% | 0.0% | Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 236 | 20.3% | 34.3% | 44.5% | 64.2% |
| 2024 | 234 | 17.9% | 29.9% | 41.0% | 63.2% |
| 2025 | 245 | 20.0% | 34.3% | 43.7% | 81.5% |
| Total | 715 | 19.4% | 32.9% | 43.1% | 69.8% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31 | 16.1% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 91.0% |
| 2024 | 17 | 23.5% | 29.4% | 47.1% | 62.4% |
| 2025 | 20 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 30.0% | 22.5% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 75 | 21.3% | 36.0% | 53.3% | 49.1% |
| 2024 | 93 | 21.5% | 29.0% | 38.7% | 87.0% |
| 2025 | 90 | 21.1% | 40.0% | 48.9% | 62.6% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 49 | 24.5% | 44.9% | 51.0% | 65.7% |
| 2024 | 42 | 19.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | 48.6% |
| 2025 | 57 | 24.6% | 35.1% | 49.1% | 167.2% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | 22.2% | 33.3% | 44.4% | 65.0% |
| 2024 | 23 | 13.0% | 26.1% | 39.1% | 33.5% |
| 2025 | 23 | 30.4% | 56.5% | 56.5% | 110.0% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 45.5% | 49.1% |
| 2024 | 15 | 13.3% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 48.0% |
| 2025 | 23 | 13.0% | 21.7% | 39.1% | 38.3% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 40 | 12.5% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 63.2% |
| 2024 | 36 | 13.9% | 27.8% | 47.2% | 58.9% |
| 2025 | 25 | 16.0% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 38.0% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 28.6% | 87.1% |
| 2024 | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuiga Kawada | 226 | 32.3% | 47.3% | 58.8% | 76.4% |
| Junya Nishimura | 106 | 17.9% | 33.0% | 45.3% | 64.1% |
| 中井裕二 | 50 | 8.0% | 20.0% | 34.0% | 65.8% |
| Kosei Miura | 20 | 5.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 33.5% |
| 菅原明良 | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 71.7% |
| Takeshi Yokoyama | 5 | 20.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Keita Tosaki | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Yuiga Kawada
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 60 | 35.0% | 51.7% | 63.3% | 79.2% | 15 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 40.0% | 60.7% |
| 2024 | 49 | 32.7% | 44.9% | 53.1% | 74.3% | 17 | 17.6% | 41.2% | 64.7% | 52.4% |
| 2025 | 70 | 32.9% | 50.0% | 62.9% | 86.6% | 15 | 33.3% | 46.7% | 53.3% | 68.0% |
| Total | 179 | 33.5% | 49.2% | 60.3% | 80.7% | 47 | 27.7% | 40.4% | 53.2% | 60.0% |
▶ Junya Nishimura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 38 | 10.5% | 31.6% | 44.7% | 26.3% | 11 | 18.2% | 45.5% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| 2024 | 22 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 45.5% | 132.7% | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 29.4% | 47.1% | 52.9% | 91.8% | 10 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 81.0% |
| Total | 77 | 19.5% | 36.4% | 46.8% | 71.2% | 29 | 13.8% | 24.1% | 41.4% | 45.2% |
▶ 中井裕二
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 326.7% | 8 | 12.5% | 50.0% | 62.5% | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 8 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 68.8% | 8 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 14 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 28.6% | 32.9% | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Total | 28 | 10.7% | 10.7% | 25.0% | 106.1% | 22 | 4.5% | 31.8% | 45.5% | 14.5% |
▶ Kosei Miura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2024 | 10 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 67.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 7 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 19 | 5.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 35.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
▶ 菅原明良
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 215.0% |
| 2025 | — | — | ||||||||
| Total | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 143.3% |
▶ Takeshi Yokoyama
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2025 | 3 | 33.3% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 4 | 25.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Keita Tosaki
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2025 | — | — | ||||||||
| Total | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 27.3% | 45.5% | 54.5% | 37.3% |
| 2024 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 9 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Total | 27 | 11.1% | 29.6% | 33.3% | 15.2% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuiga Kawada | 19 | 15.8% | 31.6% | 36.8% | 21.6% |
| Junya Nishimura | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Kosei Miura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | 22.2% | 44.4% | 44.4% | 84.4% |
| 2024 | 10 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 76.0% |
| 2025 | 7 | 42.9% | 57.1% | 57.1% | 258.6% |
| Total | 26 | 26.9% | 46.2% | 50.0% | 128.1% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuiga Kawada | 9 | 66.7% | 77.8% | 77.8% | 290.0% |
| Junya Nishimura | 5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 144.0% |
| Kosei Miura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 菅原明良 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 69.1% |
| 2024 | 13 | 23.1% | 38.5% | 61.5% | 79.2% |
| 2025 | 10 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 68.0% |
| Total | 34 | 20.6% | 32.4% | 41.2% | 72.6% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuiga Kawada | 13 | 38.5% | 38.5% | 46.2% | 120.8% |
| Junya Nishimura | 8 | 25.0% | 62.5% | 62.5% | 112.5% |
| Kosei Miura | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Takeshi Yokoyama | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.