Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Sugiyama Haruki Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 89.4%. Turf 63% / Dirt 37% split. 2026 active jockeys: Yuichi Kitamura Haruki Wada Ryusei Sakai Yuiga Kawada Kohei Matsuyama Fuma Matsuwaka Yoshihito Nagaoka.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m189 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 15.3%Place%: 31.7%Show%: 36.5%ROI: 90.8%
💡 Kohei Matsuyama・Ryusei Sakai stand out with ROI of 230.9%・170.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 36.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Kohei Matsuyama | 11 | 45.5% | 54.5% | 54.5% | 230.9% |
| ◎ | Ryusei Sakai | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 170.0% |
| × | Yoshihito Nagaoka | 9 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| × | Fuma Matsuwaka | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| × | Haruki Wada | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| × | Yuiga Kawada | 5 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
Turf1401~1800m247 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 14.6%Place%: 24.3%Show%: 32.0%ROI: 103.4%
💡 Fuma Matsuwaka・Kohei Matsuyama stand out with ROI of 150.0%・124.5%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 32.0% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Fuma Matsuwaka | 11 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 45.5% | 150.0% |
| ◎ | Kohei Matsuyama | 31 | 25.8% | 38.7% | 41.9% | 124.5% |
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 9 | 22.2% | 44.4% | 55.6% | 67.8% |
| × | Ryusei Sakai | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Turf1801~2200m213 starts / ◎3 ○1
Win%: 16.0%Place%: 27.2%Show%: 38.0%ROI: 93.5%
💡 Kohei Matsuyama・Yoshihito Nagaoka・Yuiga Kawada stand out with ROI of 152.4%・122.7%・120.0%. Primary win bet candidates.Ryusei Sakai also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 38.0% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Kohei Matsuyama | 21 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 61.9% | 152.4% |
| ◎ | Yoshihito Nagaoka | 11 | 27.3% | 45.5% | 45.5% | 122.7% |
| ◎ | Yuiga Kawada | 7 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 120.0% |
| ○ | Ryusei Sakai | 11 | 45.5% | 63.6% | 63.6% | 94.5% |
Turf2201m+61 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 11.5%Place%: 16.4%Show%: 29.5%ROI: 46.4%
💡 Overall ROI 46.4%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| × | Kohei Matsuyama | 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 45.0% |
Dirt~1400m198 starts / ◎4 ○0
Win%: 15.7%Place%: 27.8%Show%: 36.9%ROI: 86.6%
💡 Yoshihito Nagaoka・Fuma Matsuwaka・Kohei Matsuyama stand out with ROI of 188.0%・170.7%・135.6%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 36.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Yoshihito Nagaoka | 10 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 188.0% |
| ◎ | Fuma Matsuwaka | 28 | 17.9% | 35.7% | 50.0% | 170.7% |
| ◎ | Kohei Matsuyama | 18 | 27.8% | 50.0% | 61.1% | 135.6% |
| ◎ | Yuiga Kawada | 5 | 60.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% | 104.0% |
Dirt1401~1800m201 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 14.4%Place%: 24.9%Show%: 32.8%ROI: 87.1%
💡 Yuiga Kawada also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 32.8% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Yuiga Kawada | 16 | 43.8% | 62.5% | 68.8% | 99.4% |
| ▲ | Ryusei Sakai | 7 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| ▲ | Kohei Matsuyama | 26 | 23.1% | 42.3% | 57.7% | 60.8% |
| × | Fuma Matsuwaka | 17 | 0.0% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| × | Yoshihito Nagaoka | 11 | 0.0% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: Kohei Matsuyama (230.9%)・Ryusei Sakai (170.0%)
Overall ROI 90.8% / Show rate 36.5%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Dirt ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: Yoshihito Nagaoka (188.0%)・Fuma Matsuwaka (170.7%)・Kohei Matsuyama (135.6%)・Yuiga Kawada (104.0%)
Overall ROI 86.6% / Show rate 36.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Turf 1801~2200m
◎ Jockeys: Kohei Matsuyama (152.4%)・Yoshihito Nagaoka (122.7%)・Yuiga Kawada (120.0%)
Overall ROI 93.5% / Show rate 38.0%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
⚫ Conditions to Avoid
- Turf 2201m+ (overall ROI 46.4%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuichi Kitamura | Turf 1801~2200m | 450.0% | 112.5% | Place only |
| Haruki Wada | Dirt ~1400m | 270.0% | 49.1% | Place only |
| Kohei Matsuyama | Turf ~1400m | 230.9% | 122.9% | Win◎ |
| Yoshihito Nagaoka | Dirt ~1400m | 188.0% | 71.8% | Place |
| Fuma Matsuwaka | Dirt ~1400m | 170.7% | 97.6% | Win+Place |
| Ryusei Sakai | Turf ~1400m | 170.0% | 87.4% | Win+Place |
| Yuiga Kawada | Turf 1801~2200m | 120.0% | 79.1% | Place |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 361 | 15.2% | 28.8% | 36.0% | 113.5% |
| 2024 | 361 | 14.7% | 26.6% | 35.2% | 74.5% |
| 2025 | 408 | 15.0% | 24.0% | 33.1% | 81.2% |
| Total | 1130 | 15.0% | 26.4% | 34.7% | 89.4% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 53 | 18.9% | 39.6% | 43.4% | 121.1% |
| 2024 | 67 | 17.9% | 35.8% | 41.8% | 103.4% |
| 2025 | 69 | 10.1% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 55.4% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 83 | 18.1% | 28.9% | 36.1% | 125.8% |
| 2024 | 76 | 7.9% | 15.8% | 25.0% | 67.5% |
| 2025 | 88 | 17.0% | 27.3% | 34.1% | 113.4% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 67 | 16.4% | 25.4% | 32.8% | 146.9% |
| 2024 | 60 | 15.0% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 59.0% |
| 2025 | 86 | 16.3% | 29.1% | 41.9% | 76.0% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 152.5% |
| 2024 | 26 | 3.8% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 6.9% |
| 2025 | 23 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 30.4% | 35.7% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 72 | 12.5% | 29.2% | 38.9% | 57.4% |
| 2024 | 65 | 18.5% | 32.3% | 43.1% | 70.9% |
| 2025 | 61 | 16.4% | 21.3% | 27.9% | 137.7% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 66 | 7.6% | 21.2% | 27.3% | 115.3% |
| 2024 | 59 | 20.3% | 30.5% | 35.6% | 106.9% |
| 2025 | 76 | 15.8% | 23.7% | 35.5% | 47.1% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 35.0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohei Matsuyama | 113 | 27.4% | 42.5% | 54.0% | 122.9% |
| Fuma Matsuwaka | 68 | 11.8% | 25.0% | 38.2% | 97.6% |
| Yoshihito Nagaoka | 45 | 8.9% | 22.2% | 28.9% | 71.8% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 45 | 31.1% | 51.1% | 60.0% | 79.1% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 38 | 28.9% | 42.1% | 55.3% | 87.4% |
| Haruki Wada | 22 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 49.1% |
| Yuichi Kitamura | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 112.5% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Kohei Matsuyama
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 46.2% | 53.8% | 61.5% | 195.4% | 21 | 14.3% | 38.1% | 61.9% | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 24 | 20.8% | 37.5% | 50.0% | 92.1% | 13 | 23.1% | 46.2% | 53.8% | 65.4% |
| 2025 | 32 | 28.1% | 37.5% | 46.9% | 160.0% | 10 | 50.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 247.0% |
| Total | 69 | 29.0% | 40.6% | 50.7% | 143.0% | 44 | 25.0% | 45.5% | 59.1% | 91.4% |
▶ Fuma Matsuwaka
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 206.2% | 26 | 7.7% | 26.9% | 38.5% | 22.7% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11 | 9.1% | 27.3% | 36.4% | 60.9% |
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 45.5% | 339.1% |
| Total | 20 | 10.0% | 15.0% | 35.0% | 82.5% | 48 | 12.5% | 29.2% | 39.6% | 104.0% |
▶ Yoshihito Nagaoka
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 27.3% | 45.5% | 45.5% | 122.7% | 12 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 156.7% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 57.1% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 23 | 13.0% | 26.1% | 26.1% | 58.7% | 22 | 4.5% | 18.2% | 31.8% | 85.5% |
▶ Yuiga Kawada
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 82.5% |
| 2024 | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 82.5% | 13 | 46.2% | 61.5% | 69.2% | 106.9% |
| 2025 | 15 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | 74.7% | 7 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 55.7% |
| Total | 21 | 19.0% | 42.9% | 52.4% | 69.0% | 24 | 41.7% | 58.3% | 66.7% | 87.9% |
▶ Ryusei Sakai
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 105.0% |
| 2024 | 8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 62.5% | 206.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 14 | 28.6% | 50.0% | 57.1% | 68.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| Total | 27 | 29.6% | 44.4% | 55.6% | 96.7% | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 54.5% | 64.5% |
▶ Haruki Wada
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2025 | 14 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 135.0% |
| Total | 14 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 135.0% |
▶ Yuichi Kitamura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2025 | 3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 150.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 112.5% | — | ||||
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 53.8% |
| 2024 | 12 | 8.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 237.5% |
| 2025 | 30 | 3.3% | 16.7% | 23.3% | 66.0% |
| Total | 50 | 6.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | 105.2% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohei Matsuyama | 8 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 247.5% |
| Yoshihito Nagaoka | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 187.3% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 11 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 54.5% | 129.1% |
| Total | 28 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 39.3% | 124.3% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohei Matsuyama | 4 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | 4.3% | 17.4% | 30.4% | 36.1% |
| 2024 | 13 | 23.1% | 30.8% | 38.5% | 57.7% |
| 2025 | 12 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 71.7% |
| Total | 48 | 12.5% | 22.9% | 31.2% | 50.8% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohei Matsuyama | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 105.0% |
| Fuma Matsuwaka | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.