Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Sugai Shosuke Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 71.0%. Turf 68% / Dirt 32% split. 2026 active jockeys: ハマーハ 丸山元気 Yuichi Kitamura Taisei Danno Yasunari Iwata Nozomi Iwata Yuiga Kawada Keita Tosaki Yutaka Take 田山旺佑 Junya Nishimura Manabu Sakai.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m184 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 6.5%Place%: 10.9%Show%: 17.9%ROI: 66.7%
💡 丸山元気・Yutaka Take stand out with ROI of 171.7%・110.9%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is stable.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| ◎ |
丸山元気 |
6 |
16.7% |
50.0% |
50.0% |
171.7% |
| ◎ |
Yutaka Take |
11 |
9.1% |
18.2% |
36.4% |
110.9% |
| ▲ |
Taisei Danno |
5 |
20.0% |
20.0% |
20.0% |
70.0% |
| × |
Yuiga Kawada |
9 |
11.1% |
11.1% |
11.1% |
38.9% |
| × |
Manabu Sakai |
13 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
7.7% |
0.0% |
Turf1401~1800m260 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 17.3%Place%: 27.7%Show%: 36.9%ROI: 121.0%
💡 Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 592.5%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 36.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| ◎ |
Manabu Sakai |
12 |
25.0% |
25.0% |
25.0% |
592.5% |
| ▲ |
Yutaka Take |
21 |
28.6% |
33.3% |
42.9% |
79.0% |
| ▲ |
Taisei Danno |
12 |
16.7% |
33.3% |
41.7% |
71.7% |
| × |
Yuiga Kawada |
23 |
13.0% |
26.1% |
47.8% |
45.2% |
Turf1801~2200m177 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 11.3%Place%: 22.6%Show%: 30.5%ROI: 56.8%
💡 Overall ROI 56.8%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| ▲ |
Yuiga Kawada |
28 |
32.1% |
67.9% |
78.6% |
66.1% |
| × |
Manabu Sakai |
9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| × |
Taisei Danno |
8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| × |
Nozomi Iwata |
6 |
0.0% |
16.7% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| × |
丸山元気 |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.0% |
0.0% |
| × |
Junya Nishimura |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Turf2201m+42 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 14.3%Place%: 21.4%Show%: 28.6%ROI: 50.2%
💡 Overall ROI 50.2%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| × |
Yuiga Kawada |
5 |
40.0% |
60.0% |
60.0% |
52.0% |
Dirt~1400m112 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 14.3%Place%: 23.2%Show%: 34.8%ROI: 59.9%
💡 Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 128.5%. Primary win bet candidates.Yuiga Kawada also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 34.8% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| ◎ |
Manabu Sakai |
13 |
15.4% |
15.4% |
38.5% |
128.5% |
| ○ |
Yuiga Kawada |
21 |
33.3% |
47.6% |
57.1% |
85.2% |
| × |
Yutaka Take |
8 |
0.0% |
12.5% |
25.0% |
0.0% |
| × |
Taisei Danno |
6 |
0.0% |
16.7% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
Dirt1401~1800m181 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 6.1%Place%: 19.9%Show%: 31.5%ROI: 30.3%
💡 Nozomi Iwata・Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 112.0%・107.7%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 31.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating |
Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| ◎ |
Nozomi Iwata |
5 |
40.0% |
40.0% |
40.0% |
112.0% |
| ◎ |
Manabu Sakai |
13 |
15.4% |
23.1% |
23.1% |
107.7% |
| × |
Yutaka Take |
5 |
20.0% |
40.0% |
60.0% |
56.0% |
| × |
Yuiga Kawada |
18 |
5.6% |
33.3% |
55.6% |
10.6% |
| × |
Taisei Danno |
9 |
0.0% |
11.1% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| × |
丸山元気 |
7 |
0.0% |
28.6% |
42.9% |
0.0% |
| × |
Junya Nishimura |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
40.0% |
0.0% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: Manabu Sakai (592.5%)
Overall ROI 121.0% / Show rate 36.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Turf ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: 丸山元気 (171.7%)・Yutaka Take (110.9%)
Overall ROI 66.7% / Show rate 17.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Dirt ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: Manabu Sakai (128.5%)
Overall ROI 59.9% / Show rate 34.8%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
⚫ Conditions to Avoid
- Turf 1801~2200m (overall ROI 56.8%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
- Turf 2201m+ (overall ROI 50.2%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey |
Best Condition |
Best ROI |
Overall ROI |
Recommended Bet |
| Manabu Sakai |
Turf 1401~1800m |
592.5% |
166.9% |
Win◎ |
| Yutaka Take |
Turf 1801~2200m |
220.0% |
75.0% |
Place |
| 丸山元気 |
Turf ~1400m |
171.7% |
51.5% |
Place only |
| Nozomi Iwata |
Turf ~1400m |
152.5% |
48.8% |
Place only |
| Yuiga Kawada |
Dirt ~1400m |
85.2% |
51.7% |
Place only |
| Taisei Danno |
Turf 1401~1800m |
71.7% |
29.5% |
Place only |
| Junya Nishimura |
|
0% |
0.0% |
Place only |
| Keita Tosaki |
|
0% |
68.0% |
Place |
| Yasunari Iwata |
|
0% |
0.0% |
Place only |
| 田山旺佑 |
|
0% |
0.0% |
Place only |
| Yuichi Kitamura |
|
0% |
0.0% |
Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
292 |
9.9% |
18.5% |
26.7% |
51.7% |
| 2024 |
364 |
15.1% |
25.5% |
34.1% |
95.7% |
| 2025 |
321 |
8.7% |
18.7% |
29.6% |
60.5% |
| Total |
977 |
11.5% |
21.2% |
30.4% |
71.0% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
59 |
5.1% |
6.8% |
15.3% |
61.2% |
| 2024 |
59 |
10.2% |
15.3% |
20.3% |
88.5% |
| 2025 |
66 |
4.5% |
10.6% |
18.2% |
52.1% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
80 |
12.5% |
17.5% |
26.2% |
83.8% |
| 2024 |
87 |
21.8% |
32.2% |
39.1% |
148.4% |
| 2025 |
93 |
17.2% |
32.3% |
44.1% |
127.3% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
56 |
21.4% |
37.5% |
41.1% |
59.6% |
| 2024 |
69 |
8.7% |
20.3% |
27.5% |
71.2% |
| 2025 |
52 |
3.8% |
9.6% |
23.1% |
34.6% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
16 |
0.0% |
6.2% |
6.2% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
16 |
37.5% |
50.0% |
56.2% |
131.9% |
| 2025 |
10 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.0% |
0.0% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
25 |
8.0% |
12.0% |
28.0% |
39.6% |
| 2024 |
45 |
20.0% |
24.4% |
37.8% |
92.2% |
| 2025 |
42 |
11.9% |
28.6% |
35.7% |
37.4% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
52 |
3.8% |
21.2% |
32.7% |
9.0% |
| 2024 |
81 |
9.9% |
25.9% |
38.3% |
60.0% |
| 2025 |
48 |
2.1% |
8.3% |
18.8% |
3.3% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
6 |
16.7% |
33.3% |
33.3% |
113.3% |
| 2025 |
9 |
11.1% |
22.2% |
44.4% |
67.8% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| Yuiga Kawada |
106 |
21.7% |
43.4% |
57.5% |
51.7% |
| Manabu Sakai |
61 |
11.5% |
13.1% |
21.3% |
166.9% |
| Yutaka Take |
48 |
18.8% |
27.1% |
39.6% |
75.0% |
| Taisei Danno |
41 |
7.3% |
17.1% |
26.8% |
29.5% |
| Nozomi Iwata |
24 |
12.5% |
16.7% |
25.0% |
48.8% |
| 丸山元気 |
20 |
5.0% |
25.0% |
35.0% |
51.5% |
| Junya Nishimura |
19 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
10.5% |
0.0% |
| Keita Tosaki |
10 |
10.0% |
50.0% |
50.0% |
68.0% |
| Yasunari Iwata |
6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 田山旺佑 |
4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Yuichi Kitamura |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Yuiga Kawada
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
25 |
36.0% |
52.0% |
60.0% |
76.8% |
11 |
18.2% |
45.5% |
54.5% |
40.0% |
| 2024 |
20 |
25.0% |
45.0% |
55.0% |
44.5% |
13 |
30.8% |
38.5% |
53.8% |
73.1% |
| 2025 |
20 |
5.0% |
35.0% |
55.0% |
34.5% |
17 |
11.8% |
41.2% |
64.7% |
34.7% |
| Total |
65 |
23.1% |
44.6% |
56.9% |
53.8% |
41 |
19.5% |
41.5% |
58.5% |
48.3% |
▶ Manabu Sakai
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
10 |
10.0% |
10.0% |
20.0% |
241.0% |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
16 |
6.2% |
6.2% |
6.2% |
48.1% |
15 |
26.7% |
33.3% |
46.7% |
204.7% |
| 2025 |
8 |
12.5% |
12.5% |
12.5% |
491.2% |
7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
14.3% |
0.0% |
| Total |
34 |
8.8% |
8.8% |
11.8% |
209.1% |
27 |
14.8% |
18.5% |
33.3% |
113.7% |
▶ Yutaka Take
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
15 |
20.0% |
26.7% |
40.0% |
56.0% |
4 |
25.0% |
25.0% |
25.0% |
70.0% |
| 2024 |
9 |
33.3% |
33.3% |
33.3% |
228.9% |
7 |
0.0% |
28.6% |
42.9% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
11 |
18.2% |
27.3% |
45.5% |
38.2% |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
50.0% |
0.0% |
| Total |
35 |
22.9% |
28.6% |
40.0% |
94.9% |
13 |
7.7% |
23.1% |
38.5% |
21.5% |
▶ Taisei Danno
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
37.5% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
5 |
20.0% |
20.0% |
20.0% |
70.0% |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
14 |
14.3% |
28.6% |
35.7% |
61.4% |
6 |
0.0% |
33.3% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| Total |
26 |
11.5% |
19.2% |
23.1% |
46.5% |
15 |
0.0% |
13.3% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
▶ Nozomi Iwata
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
7 |
0.0% |
14.3% |
28.6% |
0.0% |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
6 |
16.7% |
16.7% |
16.7% |
101.7% |
1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
400.0% |
| 2025 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
50.0% |
0.0% |
6 |
16.7% |
16.7% |
16.7% |
26.7% |
| Total |
15 |
6.7% |
13.3% |
26.7% |
40.7% |
9 |
22.2% |
22.2% |
22.2% |
62.2% |
▶ 丸山元気
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3 |
0.0% |
66.7% |
66.7% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
10 |
10.0% |
30.0% |
40.0% |
103.0% |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| Total |
13 |
7.7% |
23.1% |
30.8% |
79.2% |
7 |
0.0% |
28.6% |
42.9% |
0.0% |
▶ Junya Nishimura
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
10 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
50.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
| Total |
14 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
40.0% |
0.0% |
▶ Keita Tosaki
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
| 2024 |
3 |
0.0% |
66.7% |
66.7% |
0.0% |
4 |
25.0% |
25.0% |
25.0% |
170.0% |
| 2025 |
1 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
1 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
| Total |
5 |
0.0% |
60.0% |
60.0% |
0.0% |
5 |
20.0% |
40.0% |
40.0% |
136.0% |
▶ Yasunari Iwata
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
| 2024 |
— |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
| Total |
5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
▶ 田山旺佑
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
— |
— |
| 2024 |
— |
— |
| 2025 |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Total |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
▶ Yuichi Kitamura
| Year |
Turf Starts |
Turf Win% |
Turf Place% |
Turf Show% |
Turf ROI |
Dirt Starts |
Dirt Win% |
Dirt Place% |
Dirt Show% |
Dirt ROI |
| 2023 |
— |
— |
| 2024 |
— |
— |
| 2025 |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
| Total |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
— |
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
14 |
0.0% |
7.1% |
7.1% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
8 |
0.0% |
12.5% |
12.5% |
0.0% |
| Total |
29 |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.9% |
0.0% |
| Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| Manabu Sakai |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Yutaka Take |
3 |
0.0% |
33.3% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Taisei Danno |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Junya Nishimura |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
G2
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2024 |
9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
22.2% |
0.0% |
| 2025 |
9 |
11.1% |
11.1% |
11.1% |
436.7% |
| Total |
25 |
4.0% |
4.0% |
12.0% |
157.2% |
| Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| Yuiga Kawada |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
33.3% |
0.0% |
| Manabu Sakai |
1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
3930.0% |
| Yutaka Take |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Junya Nishimura |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
G3
| Year |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| 2023 |
21 |
4.8% |
14.3% |
14.3% |
6.2% |
| 2024 |
11 |
18.2% |
18.2% |
18.2% |
70.9% |
| 2025 |
18 |
11.1% |
33.3% |
33.3% |
91.1% |
| Total |
50 |
10.0% |
22.0% |
22.0% |
51.0% |
| Jockey |
Starts |
Win% |
Place% |
Show% |
Win ROI |
| Yuiga Kawada |
5 |
20.0% |
60.0% |
60.0% |
26.0% |
| Yutaka Take |
5 |
0.0% |
20.0% |
20.0% |
0.0% |
| Manabu Sakai |
3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 丸山元気 |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Yasunari Iwata |
2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Taisei Danno |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Junya Nishimura |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Keita Tosaki |
1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.