Trainer Sugai Shosuke Complete Betting Guide【2023-2025 JRA Data Analysis】

Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters

Trainer Sugai Shosuke Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】

3-year combined win ROI: 71.0%. Turf 68% / Dirt 32% split. 2026 active jockeys: ハマーハ 丸山元気 Yuichi Kitamura Taisei Danno Yasunari Iwata Nozomi Iwata Yuiga Kawada Keita Tosaki Yutaka Take 田山旺佑 Junya Nishimura Manabu Sakai.

※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.

🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals

Top Pick: ROI 100%+Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m184 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 6.5%Place%: 10.9%Show%: 17.9%ROI: 66.7%
💡 丸山元気・Yutaka Take stand out with ROI of 171.7%・110.9%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is stable.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
丸山元気 6 16.7% 50.0% 50.0% 171.7%
Yutaka Take 11 9.1% 18.2% 36.4% 110.9%
Taisei Danno 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 70.0%
× Yuiga Kawada 9 11.1% 11.1% 11.1% 38.9%
× Manabu Sakai 13 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Turf1401~1800m260 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 17.3%Place%: 27.7%Show%: 36.9%ROI: 121.0%
💡 Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 592.5%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 36.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Manabu Sakai 12 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 592.5%
Yutaka Take 21 28.6% 33.3% 42.9% 79.0%
Taisei Danno 12 16.7% 33.3% 41.7% 71.7%
× Yuiga Kawada 23 13.0% 26.1% 47.8% 45.2%
Turf1801~2200m177 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 11.3%Place%: 22.6%Show%: 30.5%ROI: 56.8%
💡 Overall ROI 56.8%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuiga Kawada 28 32.1% 67.9% 78.6% 66.1%
× Manabu Sakai 9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
× Taisei Danno 8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
× Nozomi Iwata 6 0.0% 16.7% 33.3% 0.0%
× 丸山元気 5 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%
× Junya Nishimura 5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Turf2201m+42 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 14.3%Place%: 21.4%Show%: 28.6%ROI: 50.2%
💡 Overall ROI 50.2%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
× Yuiga Kawada 5 40.0% 60.0% 60.0% 52.0%
Dirt~1400m112 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 14.3%Place%: 23.2%Show%: 34.8%ROI: 59.9%
💡 Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 128.5%. Primary win bet candidates.Yuiga Kawada also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 34.8% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Manabu Sakai 13 15.4% 15.4% 38.5% 128.5%
Yuiga Kawada 21 33.3% 47.6% 57.1% 85.2%
× Yutaka Take 8 0.0% 12.5% 25.0% 0.0%
× Taisei Danno 6 0.0% 16.7% 33.3% 0.0%
Dirt1401~1800m181 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 6.1%Place%: 19.9%Show%: 31.5%ROI: 30.3%
💡 Nozomi Iwata・Manabu Sakai stand out with ROI of 112.0%・107.7%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 31.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Nozomi Iwata 5 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 112.0%
Manabu Sakai 13 15.4% 23.1% 23.1% 107.7%
× Yutaka Take 5 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 56.0%
× Yuiga Kawada 18 5.6% 33.3% 55.6% 10.6%
× Taisei Danno 9 0.0% 11.1% 33.3% 0.0%
× 丸山元気 7 0.0% 28.6% 42.9% 0.0%
× Junya Nishimura 5 0.0% 0.0% 40.0% 0.0%

※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.

⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy

Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.

🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 1401~1800m

◎ Jockeys: Manabu Sakai (592.5%)

Overall ROI 121.0% / Show rate 36.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Turf ~1400m

◎ Jockeys: 丸山元気 (171.7%)・Yutaka Take (110.9%)

Overall ROI 66.7% / Show rate 17.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Dirt ~1400m

◎ Jockeys: Manabu Sakai (128.5%)

Overall ROI 59.9% / Show rate 34.8%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

⚫ Conditions to Avoid

  • Turf 1801~2200m (overall ROI 56.8%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
  • Turf 2201m+ (overall ROI 50.2%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.

📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist

Jockey Best Condition Best ROI Overall ROI Recommended Bet
Manabu Sakai Turf 1401~1800m 592.5% 166.9% Win◎
Yutaka Take Turf 1801~2200m 220.0% 75.0% Place
丸山元気 Turf ~1400m 171.7% 51.5% Place only
Nozomi Iwata Turf ~1400m 152.5% 48.8% Place only
Yuiga Kawada Dirt ~1400m 85.2% 51.7% Place only
Taisei Danno Turf 1401~1800m 71.7% 29.5% Place only
Junya Nishimura 0% 0.0% Place only
Keita Tosaki 0% 68.0% Place
Yasunari Iwata 0% 0.0% Place only
田山旺佑 0% 0.0% Place only
Yuichi Kitamura 0% 0.0% Place only

📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)

Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.

Overall Performance by Year

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 292 9.9% 18.5% 26.7% 51.7%
2024 364 15.1% 25.5% 34.1% 95.7%
2025 321 8.7% 18.7% 29.6% 60.5%
Total 977 11.5% 21.2% 30.4% 71.0%

Turf Performance by Year × Distance

Turf Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 59 5.1% 6.8% 15.3% 61.2%
2024 59 10.2% 15.3% 20.3% 88.5%
2025 66 4.5% 10.6% 18.2% 52.1%

Turf Mile (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 80 12.5% 17.5% 26.2% 83.8%
2024 87 21.8% 32.2% 39.1% 148.4%
2025 93 17.2% 32.3% 44.1% 127.3%

Turf Middle (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 56 21.4% 37.5% 41.1% 59.6%
2024 69 8.7% 20.3% 27.5% 71.2%
2025 52 3.8% 9.6% 23.1% 34.6%

Turf Long (2201m+)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 16 0.0% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0%
2024 16 37.5% 50.0% 56.2% 131.9%
2025 10 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%

Dirt Performance by Year × Distance

Dirt Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 25 8.0% 12.0% 28.0% 39.6%
2024 45 20.0% 24.4% 37.8% 92.2%
2025 42 11.9% 28.6% 35.7% 37.4%

Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 52 3.8% 21.2% 32.7% 9.0%
2024 81 9.9% 25.9% 38.3% 60.0%
2025 48 2.1% 8.3% 18.8% 3.3%

Dirt Long (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 6 16.7% 33.3% 33.3% 113.3%
2025 9 11.1% 22.2% 44.4% 67.8%

Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)

Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuiga Kawada 106 21.7% 43.4% 57.5% 51.7%
Manabu Sakai 61 11.5% 13.1% 21.3% 166.9%
Yutaka Take 48 18.8% 27.1% 39.6% 75.0%
Taisei Danno 41 7.3% 17.1% 26.8% 29.5%
Nozomi Iwata 24 12.5% 16.7% 25.0% 48.8%
丸山元気 20 5.0% 25.0% 35.0% 51.5%
Junya Nishimura 19 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 0.0%
Keita Tosaki 10 10.0% 50.0% 50.0% 68.0%
Yasunari Iwata 6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
田山旺佑 4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yuichi Kitamura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year

▶ Yuiga Kawada

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 25 36.0% 52.0% 60.0% 76.8% 11 18.2% 45.5% 54.5% 40.0%
2024 20 25.0% 45.0% 55.0% 44.5% 13 30.8% 38.5% 53.8% 73.1%
2025 20 5.0% 35.0% 55.0% 34.5% 17 11.8% 41.2% 64.7% 34.7%
Total 65 23.1% 44.6% 56.9% 53.8% 41 19.5% 41.5% 58.5% 48.3%

▶ Manabu Sakai

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 10 10.0% 10.0% 20.0% 241.0% 5 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%
2024 16 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 48.1% 15 26.7% 33.3% 46.7% 204.7%
2025 8 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 491.2% 7 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 0.0%
Total 34 8.8% 8.8% 11.8% 209.1% 27 14.8% 18.5% 33.3% 113.7%

▶ Yutaka Take

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 15 20.0% 26.7% 40.0% 56.0% 4 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 70.0%
2024 9 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 228.9% 7 0.0% 28.6% 42.9% 0.0%
2025 11 18.2% 27.3% 45.5% 38.2% 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
Total 35 22.9% 28.6% 40.0% 94.9% 13 7.7% 23.1% 38.5% 21.5%

▶ Taisei Danno

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8 0.0% 0.0% 37.5% 0.0%
2024 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 70.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 14 14.3% 28.6% 35.7% 61.4% 6 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% 0.0%
Total 26 11.5% 19.2% 23.1% 46.5% 15 0.0% 13.3% 33.3% 0.0%

▶ Nozomi Iwata

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 7 0.0% 14.3% 28.6% 0.0% 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 6 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 101.7% 1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 400.0%
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0% 6 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 26.7%
Total 15 6.7% 13.3% 26.7% 40.7% 9 22.2% 22.2% 22.2% 62.2%

▶ 丸山元気

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3 0.0% 66.7% 66.7% 0.0%
2025 10 10.0% 30.0% 40.0% 103.0% 3 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%
Total 13 7.7% 23.1% 30.8% 79.2% 7 0.0% 28.6% 42.9% 0.0%

▶ Junya Nishimura

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
2024 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5 0.0% 0.0% 40.0% 0.0%

▶ Keita Tosaki

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 3 0.0% 66.7% 66.7% 0.0% 4 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 170.0%
2025 1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Total 5 0.0% 60.0% 60.0% 0.0% 5 20.0% 40.0% 40.0% 136.0%

▶ Yasunari Iwata

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

▶ 田山旺佑

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024
2025 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

▶ Yuichi Kitamura

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024
2025 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)

G1

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 14 0.0% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0%
2024 7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 8 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0%
Total 29 0.0% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Manabu Sakai 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yutaka Take 3 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% 0.0%
Yuiga Kawada 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taisei Danno 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Junya Nishimura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

G2

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 9 0.0% 0.0% 22.2% 0.0%
2025 9 11.1% 11.1% 11.1% 436.7%
Total 25 4.0% 4.0% 12.0% 157.2%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuiga Kawada 3 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%
Manabu Sakai 1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3930.0%
Yutaka Take 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Junya Nishimura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

G3

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 21 4.8% 14.3% 14.3% 6.2%
2024 11 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 70.9%
2025 18 11.1% 33.3% 33.3% 91.1%
Total 50 10.0% 22.0% 22.0% 51.0%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuiga Kawada 5 20.0% 60.0% 60.0% 26.0%
Yutaka Take 5 0.0% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0%
Manabu Sakai 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
丸山元気 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yasunari Iwata 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taisei Danno 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Junya Nishimura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Keita Tosaki 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.

※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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