Trainer Yoshioka Tatsuya Complete Betting Guide【2023-2025 JRA Data Analysis】

Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters

Trainer Yoshioka Tatsuya Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】

3-year combined win ROI: 95.5%. Turf 57% / Dirt 43% split. 2026 active jockeys: Christophe Lemaire Yuichi Kitamura Ryusei Sakai Nozomi Iwata Yutaka Take 田山旺佑 高杉吏麒.

※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.

🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals

Top Pick: ROI 100%+Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m101 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 10.9%Place%: 20.8%Show%: 30.7%ROI: 47.8%
💡 Overall ROI 47.8%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
× Yuichi Kitamura 8 12.5% 25.0% 50.0% 45.0%
Turf1401~1800m167 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 16.8%Place%: 28.7%Show%: 35.9%ROI: 133.1%
💡 Nozomi Iwata・Yuichi Kitamura stand out with ROI of 135.0%・123.6%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 35.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Nozomi Iwata 6 33.3% 50.0% 50.0% 135.0%
Yuichi Kitamura 11 36.4% 54.5% 54.5% 123.6%
Ryusei Sakai 8 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 68.8%
Turf1801~2200m117 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 12.8%Place%: 25.6%Show%: 32.5%ROI: 125.3%
💡 Yuichi Kitamura stand out with ROI of 330.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 32.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 8 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 330.0%
× Nozomi Iwata 5 0.0% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0%
Turf2201m+39 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 5.1%Place%: 7.7%Show%: 30.8%ROI: 12.8%
💡 Overall ROI 12.8%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
No data for 2026 active jockeys
Dirt~1400m131 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 16.0%Place%: 24.4%Show%: 36.6%ROI: 113.9%
💡 Yuichi Kitamura・Ryusei Sakai stand out with ROI of 874.0%・124.5%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 36.6% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 5 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 874.0%
Ryusei Sakai 11 36.4% 45.5% 54.5% 124.5%
Nozomi Iwata 7 14.3% 28.6% 28.6% 77.1%
Dirt1401~1800m157 starts / ◎2 ○1
Win%: 9.6%Place%: 15.9%Show%: 26.1%ROI: 59.4%
💡 高杉吏麒・Ryusei Sakai stand out with ROI of 401.4%・244.0%. Primary win bet candidates.Yuichi Kitamura also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 26.1% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
高杉吏麒 7 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% 401.4%
Ryusei Sakai 5 20.0% 20.0% 40.0% 244.0%
Yuichi Kitamura 11 27.3% 27.3% 27.3% 97.3%
× Nozomi Iwata 5 0.0% 0.0% 60.0% 0.0%

※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.

⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy

Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.

🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Dirt ~1400m

◎ Jockeys: Yuichi Kitamura (874.0%)・Ryusei Sakai (124.5%)

Overall ROI 113.9% / Show rate 36.6%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Dirt 1401~1800m

◎ Jockeys: 高杉吏麒 (401.4%)・Ryusei Sakai (244.0%)

Overall ROI 59.4% / Show rate 26.1%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Turf 1801~2200m

◎ Jockeys: Yuichi Kitamura (330.0%)

Overall ROI 125.3% / Show rate 32.5%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

⚫ Conditions to Avoid

  • Turf ~1400m (overall ROI 47.8%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
  • Turf 2201m+ (overall ROI 12.8%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.

📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist

Jockey Best Condition Best ROI Overall ROI Recommended Bet
Yuichi Kitamura Dirt ~1400m 874.0% 225.6% Win◎
高杉吏麒 Dirt ~1400m 835.0% 350.0% Win◎
Nozomi Iwata Turf ~1400m 307.5% 136.9% Win◎
Ryusei Sakai Dirt 1401~1800m 244.0% 104.7% Win◎
田山旺佑 Dirt 1401~1800m 206.7% 103.3% Win◎
Christophe Lemaire Dirt 1401~1800m 105.0% 47.0% Place only
Yutaka Take 0% 0.0% Place only

📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)

Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.

Overall Performance by Year

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 248 15.3% 23.4% 32.7% 162.3%
2024 247 13.0% 24.3% 33.2% 54.8%
2025 249 11.6% 21.3% 32.5% 69.4%
Total 744 13.3% 23.0% 32.8% 95.5%

Turf Performance by Year × Distance

Turf Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 29 6.9% 13.8% 20.7% 30.7%
2024 46 10.9% 17.4% 28.3% 60.2%
2025 26 15.4% 34.6% 46.2% 45.0%

Turf Mile (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 59 16.9% 28.8% 39.0% 256.6%
2024 57 19.3% 35.1% 35.1% 77.2%
2025 51 13.7% 21.6% 33.3% 52.7%

Turf Middle (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 44 15.9% 22.7% 34.1% 211.6%
2024 39 10.3% 28.2% 33.3% 53.8%
2025 34 11.8% 26.5% 29.4% 95.6%

Turf Long (2201m+)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 9 11.1% 11.1% 22.2% 16.7%
2024 25 4.0% 8.0% 36.0% 14.0%
2025 5 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%

Dirt Performance by Year × Distance

Dirt Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 44 25.0% 34.1% 36.4% 213.6%
2024 33 12.1% 21.2% 36.4% 44.8%
2025 54 11.1% 18.5% 37.0% 74.8%

Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 54 7.4% 14.8% 25.9% 56.1%
2024 35 14.3% 17.1% 25.7% 41.4%
2025 68 8.8% 16.2% 26.5% 71.3%

Dirt Long (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 6 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 346.7%
2024 9 22.2% 44.4% 44.4% 110.0%
2025 8 25.0% 37.5% 37.5% 161.2%

Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)

Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 45 26.7% 35.6% 44.4% 225.6%
Ryusei Sakai 30 23.3% 30.0% 40.0% 104.7%
Nozomi Iwata 29 17.2% 31.0% 48.3% 136.9%
高杉吏麒 14 21.4% 21.4% 28.6% 350.0%
Christophe Lemaire 10 20.0% 50.0% 60.0% 47.0%
田山旺佑 6 16.7% 33.3% 33.3% 103.3%
Yutaka Take 3 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%

Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year

▶ Yuichi Kitamura

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 4 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 42.5% 7 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 624.3%
2024 11 9.1% 18.2% 36.4% 31.8% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 14 42.9% 57.1% 64.3% 299.3% 8 37.5% 50.0% 62.5% 133.8%
Total 29 27.6% 37.9% 48.3% 162.4% 16 25.0% 31.2% 37.5% 340.0%

▶ Ryusei Sakai

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 6 16.7% 16.7% 33.3% 66.7% 11 45.5% 54.5% 63.6% 235.5%
2024 4 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 37.5% 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 4 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 0.0% 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
Total 14 14.3% 21.4% 28.6% 39.3% 16 31.2% 37.5% 50.0% 161.9%

▶ Nozomi Iwata

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0% 7 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% 198.6%
2024 7 42.9% 57.1% 71.4% 291.4% 2 0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 0.0%
2025 6 0.0% 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 5 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 108.0%
Total 15 20.0% 33.3% 46.7% 136.0% 14 14.3% 28.6% 50.0% 137.9%

▶ 高杉吏麒

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 3 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 140.0% 9 22.2% 22.2% 33.3% 497.8%
Total 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 84.0% 9 22.2% 22.2% 33.3% 497.8%

▶ Christophe Lemaire

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2 50.0% 100.0% 100.0% 105.0%
2024 5 20.0% 60.0% 60.0% 52.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 1 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Total 6 16.7% 50.0% 50.0% 43.3% 4 25.0% 50.0% 75.0% 52.5%

▶ 田山旺佑

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4 25.0% 50.0% 50.0% 155.0%
Total 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4 25.0% 50.0% 50.0% 155.0%

▶ Yutaka Take

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
Total 3 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%

Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)

G1

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 6 16.7% 33.3% 33.3% 125.0%
2025 3 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 120.0%
Total 13 15.4% 23.1% 23.1% 85.4%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

G2

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 6 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%
2024 5 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%
2025 3 0.0% 33.3% 100.0% 0.0%
Total 14 0.0% 7.1% 42.9% 0.0%

G3

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 6 33.3% 50.0% 50.0% 135.0%
2025 7 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 357.1%
Total 16 18.8% 25.0% 25.0% 206.9%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2500.0%
Nozomi Iwata 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.

※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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