Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Takagi Noboru Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 103.1%. Turf 43% / Dirt 57% split. 2026 active jockeys: Christophe Lemaire Kosei Miura Yuji Tannai Keita Tosaki Takuya Kobata 菅原明良 Kazuki Kikusawa.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m36 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 8.3%Place%: 13.9%Show%: 27.8%ROI: 74.2%
💡 Overall ROI 74.2%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| × | 菅原明良 | 10 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 33.0% |
Turf1401~1800m185 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 9.2%Place%: 17.8%Show%: 27.6%ROI: 153.7%
💡 Takuya Kobata stand out with ROI of 1065.6%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 27.6% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Takuya Kobata | 9 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 1065.6% |
| ▲ | 菅原明良 | 59 | 11.9% | 22.0% | 39.0% | 75.8% |
| ▲ | Keita Tosaki | 7 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| × | Kosei Miura | 9 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
Turf1801~2200m109 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 5.5%Place%: 10.1%Show%: 15.6%ROI: 71.5%
💡 菅原明良 stand out with ROI of 103.8%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 菅原明良 | 21 | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 103.8% |
| × | Yuji Tannai | 9 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 34.4% |
Turf2201m+28 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 14.3%Place%: 21.4%Show%: 35.7%ROI: 100.0%
💡 Overall ROI 100.0%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data for 2026 active jockeys | ||||||
Dirt~1400m114 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 11.4%Place%: 17.5%Show%: 27.2%ROI: 134.1%
💡 Overall ROI 134.1%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | 菅原明良 | 55 | 12.7% | 16.4% | 29.1% | 67.6% |
Dirt1401~1800m324 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 9.6%Place%: 19.8%Show%: 26.2%ROI: 79.6%
💡 Keita Tosaki stand out with ROI of 113.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 26.2% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Keita Tosaki | 10 | 30.0% | 40.0% | 60.0% | 113.0% |
| × | 菅原明良 | 114 | 6.1% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 41.2% |
| × | Kosei Miura | 13 | 7.7% | 30.8% | 53.8% | 34.6% |
| × | Yuji Tannai | 13 | 7.7% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 17.7% |
| × | Christophe Lemaire | 9 | 0.0% | 44.4% | 55.6% | 0.0% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: Takuya Kobata (1065.6%)
Overall ROI 153.7% / Show rate 27.6%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Dirt 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: Keita Tosaki (113.0%)
Overall ROI 79.6% / Show rate 26.2%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Turf 1801~2200m
◎ Jockeys: 菅原明良 (103.8%)
Overall ROI 71.5% / Show rate 15.6%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takuya Kobata | Turf 1401~1800m | 1065.6% | 671.2% | Win◎ |
| Kosei Miura | Turf 2201m+ | 212.5% | 40.6% | Place only |
| 菅原明良 | Turf 2201m+ | 172.5% | 59.9% | Place only |
| Keita Tosaki | Dirt 1401~1800m | 113.0% | 81.5% | Win+Place |
| Yuji Tannai | Turf 1801~2200m | 34.4% | 17.4% | Place only |
| Christophe Lemaire | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| Kazuki Kikusawa | 0% | 0.0% | Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 289 | 9.0% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 90.2% |
| 2024 | 263 | 10.3% | 18.6% | 30.0% | 91.9% |
| 2025 | 277 | 9.0% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 127.1% |
| Total | 829 | 9.4% | 17.5% | 25.8% | 103.1% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 67.5% |
| 2025 | 20 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 35.0% | 106.5% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 65 | 4.6% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 36.2% |
| 2024 | 68 | 11.8% | 22.1% | 35.3% | 90.1% |
| 2025 | 52 | 11.5% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 383.8% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 61 | 8.2% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 121.8% |
| 2024 | 24 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 15.0% |
| 2025 | 24 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 21.4% | 28.6% | 42.9% | 157.1% |
| 2024 | 9 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 44.4% | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | 13.8% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 45.9% |
| 2024 | 37 | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 231.9% |
| 2025 | 48 | 12.5% | 22.9% | 35.4% | 112.1% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 103 | 9.7% | 19.4% | 23.3% | 122.5% |
| 2024 | 104 | 8.7% | 20.2% | 31.7% | 52.2% |
| 2025 | 117 | 10.3% | 19.7% | 23.9% | 66.2% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 14.3% | 42.9% | 57.1% | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 12 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 41.7% | 210.8% |
| 2025 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 菅原明良 | 278 | 9.7% | 17.3% | 27.7% | 59.9% |
| Kosei Miura | 32 | 6.2% | 25.0% | 40.6% | 40.6% |
| Yuji Tannai | 31 | 6.5% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 17.4% |
| Keita Tosaki | 20 | 20.0% | 35.0% | 50.0% | 81.5% |
| Takuya Kobata | 16 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 671.2% |
| Christophe Lemaire | 12 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Kazuki Kikusawa | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ 菅原明良
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | 11.5% | 19.2% | 30.8% | 110.4% | 48 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 54.6% |
| 2024 | 40 | 15.0% | 22.5% | 37.5% | 99.0% | 62 | 6.5% | 14.5% | 27.4% | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 28 | 7.1% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 30.0% | 74 | 10.8% | 18.9% | 28.4% | 52.3% |
| Total | 94 | 11.7% | 18.1% | 30.9% | 81.6% | 184 | 8.7% | 16.8% | 26.1% | 48.8% |
▶ Kosei Miura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 44.4% | 94.4% | 8 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 62.5% | 56.2% |
| 2024 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 16 | 6.2% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 53.1% | 16 | 6.2% | 37.5% | 56.2% | 28.1% |
▶ Yuji Tannai
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 51.7% | 10 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 23.0% |
| 2024 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 7 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Total | 15 | 6.7% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 20.7% | 16 | 6.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 14.4% |
▶ Keita Tosaki
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 16.7% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 83.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 85.0% |
| 2025 | — | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 62.5% | 120.0% | ||||
| Total | 9 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 44.4% | 55.6% | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 54.5% | 102.7% |
▶ Takuya Kobata
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 333.3% | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 790.0% |
| 2025 | 6 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 1491.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 11 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 904.5% | 5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 158.0% |
▶ Christophe Lemaire
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| Total | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 10 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Kazuki Kikusawa
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2024 | — | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2025 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 150.0% |
| 2025 | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Total | 9 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 44.4% | 66.7% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosei Miura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 16 | 0.0% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 菅原明良 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuji Tannai | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Takuya Kobata | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 380.0% |
| 2025 | 12 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 745.8% |
| Total | 19 | 10.5% | 15.8% | 26.3% | 531.1% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 菅原明良 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuji Tannai | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Takuya Kobata | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 4475.0% |
| Kosei Miura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keita Tosaki | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.