Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Fujiwara Hideaki Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 74.6%. Turf 69% / Dirt 31% split. 2026 active jockeys: Christophe Lemaire Ryusei Sakai Yuiga Kawada Keita Tosaki Kohei Matsuyama Daiki Matsumoto Yutaka Take 河原田菜 Koji Nishizuka.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m164 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 10.4%Place%: 14.0%Show%: 25.0%ROI: 97.6%
💡 Kohei Matsuyama・Koji Nishizuka stand out with ROI of 123.3%・101.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 25.0% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Kohei Matsuyama | 15 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 123.3% |
| ◎ | Koji Nishizuka | 42 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 101.0% |
| ▲ | Yuiga Kawada | 5 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 78.0% |
Turf1401~1800m264 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 11.0%Place%: 21.6%Show%: 31.8%ROI: 47.3%
💡 Koji Nishizuka also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 31.8% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Koji Nishizuka | 60 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 38.3% | 96.2% |
| × | Keita Tosaki | 9 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 38.9% |
| × | Yuiga Kawada | 17 | 17.6% | 41.2% | 58.8% | 36.5% |
| × | Kohei Matsuyama | 32 | 3.1% | 21.9% | 31.2% | 4.1% |
| × | Ryusei Sakai | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Turf1801~2200m161 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 11.8%Place%: 18.6%Show%: 32.9%ROI: 129.4%
💡 Koji Nishizuka stand out with ROI of 132.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 32.9% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Koji Nishizuka | 40 | 17.5% | 30.0% | 47.5% | 132.0% |
| × | Kohei Matsuyama | 20 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 30.5% |
| × | Keita Tosaki | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| × | Ryusei Sakai | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
Turf2201m+33 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 3.0%Place%: 18.2%Show%: 27.3%ROI: 54.5%
💡 Overall ROI 54.5%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| × | Koji Nishizuka | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Dirt~1400m82 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 19.5%Place%: 24.4%Show%: 30.5%ROI: 64.6%
💡 Overall ROI 64.6%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Kohei Matsuyama | 8 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 61.3% |
| × | Koji Nishizuka | 23 | 13.0% | 17.4% | 26.1% | 50.0% |
| × | Keita Tosaki | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
Dirt1401~1800m164 starts / ◎0 ○2
Win%: 14.6%Place%: 24.4%Show%: 31.7%ROI: 63.2%
💡 Koji Nishizuka・Ryusei Sakai also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 31.7% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | Koji Nishizuka | 37 | 16.2% | 24.3% | 27.0% | 95.7% |
| ○ | Ryusei Sakai | 5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 90.0% |
| ▲ | Kohei Matsuyama | 16 | 25.0% | 31.2% | 43.8% | 63.1% |
| × | Yuiga Kawada | 8 | 25.0% | 75.0% | 87.5% | 48.8% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 1801~2200m
◎ Jockeys: Koji Nishizuka (132.0%)
Overall ROI 129.4% / Show rate 32.9%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Turf ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: Kohei Matsuyama (123.3%)・Koji Nishizuka (101.0%)
Overall ROI 97.6% / Show rate 25.0%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
⚫ Conditions to Avoid
- Turf 2201m+ (overall ROI 54.5%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryusei Sakai | Turf ~1400m | 356.7% | 79.2% | Place |
| Daiki Matsumoto | Dirt 1401~1800m | 225.0% | 64.3% | Place |
| Koji Nishizuka | Turf 1801~2200m | 132.0% | 94.7% | Win+Place |
| Kohei Matsuyama | Turf ~1400m | 123.3% | 44.0% | Place only |
| Christophe Lemaire | Turf 1801~2200m | 100.0% | 22.2% | Place only |
| Yuiga Kawada | Turf ~1400m | 78.0% | 41.3% | Place only |
| Keita Tosaki | Dirt 1401~1800m | 66.7% | 22.1% | Place only |
| Yutaka Take | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| 河原田菜 | 0% | 0.0% | Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 287 | 11.5% | 17.8% | 27.5% | 59.5% |
| 2024 | 299 | 12.4% | 21.1% | 33.1% | 63.8% |
| 2025 | 321 | 12.5% | 21.8% | 29.9% | 98.1% |
| Total | 907 | 12.1% | 20.3% | 30.2% | 74.6% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 71 | 9.9% | 11.3% | 25.4% | 56.3% |
| 2024 | 45 | 17.8% | 20.0% | 31.1% | 197.3% |
| 2025 | 48 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 65.2% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 92 | 9.8% | 19.6% | 30.4% | 37.8% |
| 2024 | 78 | 10.3% | 15.4% | 25.6% | 36.8% |
| 2025 | 94 | 12.8% | 28.7% | 38.3% | 65.4% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 47 | 8.5% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 78.7% |
| 2024 | 60 | 11.7% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 32.7% |
| 2025 | 54 | 14.8% | 20.4% | 31.5% | 281.1% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 6.2% | 18.8% | 25.0% | 112.5% |
| 2024 | 14 | 0.0% | 21.4% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 5.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| 2024 | 22 | 27.3% | 31.8% | 50.0% | 105.0% |
| 2025 | 43 | 20.9% | 25.6% | 27.9% | 64.2% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 37 | 27.0% | 32.4% | 37.8% | 99.5% |
| 2024 | 60 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 31.7% | 44.3% |
| 2025 | 67 | 11.9% | 19.4% | 28.4% | 60.0% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 28.6% |
| 2024 | 17 | 0.0% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 10 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koji Nishizuka | 211 | 14.7% | 24.2% | 32.7% | 94.7% |
| Kohei Matsuyama | 93 | 11.8% | 21.5% | 35.5% | 44.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 38 | 21.1% | 42.1% | 55.3% | 41.3% |
| Keita Tosaki | 34 | 8.8% | 17.6% | 29.4% | 22.1% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 25 | 16.0% | 16.0% | 32.0% | 79.2% |
| Yutaka Take | 9 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Lemaire | 9 | 11.1% | 55.6% | 55.6% | 22.2% |
| 河原田菜 | 8 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Daiki Matsumoto | 7 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 64.3% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Koji Nishizuka
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 34 | 11.8% | 23.5% | 29.4% | 70.6% | 13 | 0.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 55 | 14.5% | 21.8% | 36.4% | 101.8% | 30 | 23.3% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 104.0% |
| 2025 | 58 | 17.2% | 29.3% | 37.9% | 125.7% | 21 | 9.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 74.8% |
| Total | 147 | 15.0% | 25.2% | 35.4% | 104.0% | 64 | 14.1% | 21.9% | 26.6% | 73.3% |
▶ Kohei Matsuyama
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 15.4% | 15.4% | 38.5% | 68.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 52.5% |
| 2024 | 24 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 29.2% | 58.8% | 10 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 76.0% |
| 2025 | 31 | 3.2% | 22.6% | 32.3% | 9.4% | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 54.5% | 48.2% |
| Total | 68 | 7.4% | 19.1% | 32.4% | 38.1% | 25 | 24.0% | 28.0% | 44.0% | 60.0% |
▶ Yuiga Kawada
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 27.3% | 45.5% | 54.5% | 51.8% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 50.0% | 43.8% | 6 | 16.7% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 43.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 25 | 24.0% | 40.0% | 56.0% | 47.2% | 13 | 15.4% | 46.2% | 53.8% | 30.0% |
▶ Keita Tosaki
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 70.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Total | 22 | 4.5% | 13.6% | 27.3% | 15.9% | 12 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
▶ Ryusei Sakai
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 42.9% | 152.9% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 182.0% |
| Total | 17 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 29.4% | 62.9% | 8 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 113.8% |
▶ Yutaka Take
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2024 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | — | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| Total | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
▶ Christophe Lemaire
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | ||||
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 6 | 16.7% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 33.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
▶ 河原田菜
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Daiki Matsumoto
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2024 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 112.5% |
| Total | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 90.0% |
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 18 | 0.0% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koji Nishizuka | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kohei Matsuyama | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Lemaire | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 0.0% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 9 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 121.1% |
| 2025 | 9 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 276.7% |
| Total | 29 | 6.9% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 123.4% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohei Matsuyama | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 272.5% |
| Koji Nishizuka | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1245.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keita Tosaki | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yutaka Take | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 15 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 90.7% |
| 2025 | 8 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 318.8% |
| Total | 36 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 13.9% | 108.6% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koji Nishizuka | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Yuiga Kawada | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Keita Tosaki | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryusei Sakai | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Kohei Matsuyama | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.