Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Matsunaga Mikio Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 72.0%. Turf 55% / Dirt 45% split. 2026 active jockeys: Christophe Lemaire 国分優作 太宰啓介 Yasunari Iwata Norihiro Yokoyama Yutaka Take Kenichi Ikezoe Hiroki Ishikawa Junya Nishimura 西谷誠 Manabu Sakai.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m115 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 8.7%Place%: 14.8%Show%: 20.9%ROI: 64.7%
💡 Overall ROI 64.7%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Norihiro Yokoyama | 13 | 7.7% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 99.2% |
| × | Yutaka Take | 7 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 42.9% | 34.3% |
Turf1401~1800m251 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 10.4%Place%: 17.9%Show%: 28.7%ROI: 86.3%
💡 Norihiro Yokoyama・Yutaka Take stand out with ROI of 180.0%・117.3%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 28.7% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Norihiro Yokoyama | 31 | 19.4% | 25.8% | 38.7% | 180.0% |
| ◎ | Yutaka Take | 26 | 15.4% | 26.9% | 30.8% | 117.3% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 10 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| × | Manabu Sakai | 12 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| × | Kenichi Ikezoe | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Turf1801~2200m136 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 8.8%Place%: 16.2%Show%: 25.0%ROI: 40.4%
💡 Overall ROI 40.4%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Kenichi Ikezoe | 10 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 62.0% |
| ▲ | Yutaka Take | 13 | 7.7% | 30.8% | 30.8% | 61.5% |
| × | Norihiro Yokoyama | 29 | 6.9% | 13.8% | 31.0% | 39.0% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Turf2201m+45 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 13.3%Place%: 22.2%Show%: 35.6%ROI: 97.1%
💡 Norihiro Yokoyama stand out with ROI of 234.5%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 35.6% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Norihiro Yokoyama | 11 | 27.3% | 36.4% | 36.4% | 234.5% |
Dirt~1400m136 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 7.4%Place%: 12.5%Show%: 25.0%ROI: 34.7%
💡 Overall ROI 34.7%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Yutaka Take | 19 | 10.5% | 15.8% | 31.6% | 66.8% |
| × | Norihiro Yokoyama | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Dirt1401~1800m244 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 13.9%Place%: 24.6%Show%: 32.4%ROI: 88.6%
💡 Yutaka Take stand out with ROI of 103.8%. Primary win bet candidates.Norihiro Yokoyama also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on an upward trend. Overall show rate 32.4% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Yutaka Take | 21 | 19.0% | 28.6% | 38.1% | 103.8% |
| ○ | Norihiro Yokoyama | 19 | 15.8% | 21.1% | 42.1% | 83.2% |
| × | Junya Nishimura | 15 | 13.3% | 40.0% | 53.3% | 23.3% |
| × | Yasunari Iwata | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| × | Kenichi Ikezoe | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| × | Christophe Lemaire | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 2201m+
◎ Jockeys: Norihiro Yokoyama (234.5%)
Overall ROI 97.1% / Show rate 35.6%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Turf 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: Norihiro Yokoyama (180.0%)・Yutaka Take (117.3%)
Overall ROI 86.3% / Show rate 28.7%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Dirt 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: Yutaka Take (103.8%)
Overall ROI 88.6% / Show rate 32.4%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
⚫ Conditions to Avoid
- Turf 1801~2200m (overall ROI 40.4%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
- Dirt ~1400m (overall ROI 34.7%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norihiro Yokoyama | Turf 2201m+ | 234.5% | 113.8% | Win◎ |
| Yutaka Take | Turf 1401~1800m | 117.3% | 115.8% | Win◎ |
| Kenichi Ikezoe | Turf 1801~2200m | 62.0% | 23.0% | Place only |
| Junya Nishimura | Turf 1401~1800m | 48.0% | 28.8% | Place only |
| Manabu Sakai | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| Yasunari Iwata | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| Christophe Lemaire | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| 太宰啓介 | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| 西谷誠 | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| Hiroki Ishikawa | 0% | 0.0% | Place only | |
| 国分優作 | 0% | 0.0% | Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 331 | 9.4% | 17.8% | 27.2% | 62.4% |
| 2024 | 319 | 13.2% | 22.6% | 32.3% | 76.6% |
| 2025 | 337 | 9.8% | 16.9% | 26.1% | 77.1% |
| Total | 987 | 10.7% | 19.0% | 28.5% | 72.0% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 42 | 4.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 36.4% |
| 2024 | 36 | 16.7% | 27.8% | 36.1% | 93.6% |
| 2025 | 37 | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 68.6% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 84 | 8.3% | 19.0% | 32.1% | 96.0% |
| 2024 | 84 | 14.3% | 20.2% | 28.6% | 101.5% |
| 2025 | 83 | 8.4% | 14.5% | 25.3% | 61.2% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 28 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 36.4% |
| 2024 | 60 | 11.7% | 20.0% | 30.0% | 43.7% |
| 2025 | 48 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 29.2% | 38.8% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 68.3% |
| 2024 | 10 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 59.0% |
| 2025 | 23 | 17.4% | 21.7% | 39.1% | 128.7% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 57 | 8.8% | 14.0% | 29.8% | 29.5% |
| 2024 | 32 | 9.4% | 15.6% | 31.2% | 66.6% |
| 2025 | 47 | 4.3% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 19.4% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 85 | 14.1% | 24.7% | 32.9% | 74.2% |
| 2024 | 79 | 12.7% | 22.8% | 31.6% | 77.7% |
| 2025 | 80 | 15.0% | 26.2% | 32.5% | 114.5% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 38.1% | 59.5% |
| 2024 | 17 | 17.6% | 41.2% | 47.1% | 62.4% |
| 2025 | 11 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 316.4% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 113 | 15.0% | 22.1% | 36.3% | 113.8% |
| Yutaka Take | 95 | 14.7% | 25.3% | 36.8% | 115.8% |
| Junya Nishimura | 41 | 9.8% | 19.5% | 34.1% | 28.8% |
| Kenichi Ikezoe | 27 | 7.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 23.0% |
| Manabu Sakai | 22 | 0.0% | 9.1% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Yasunari Iwata | 14 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Lemaire | 12 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| 太宰啓介 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 西谷誠 | 7 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 57.1% | 0.0% |
| Hiroki Ishikawa | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 国分優作 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Norihiro Yokoyama
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 30 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 26.7% | 84.3% | 12 | 41.7% | 50.0% | 75.0% | 190.0% |
| 2024 | 24 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 45.8% | 135.4% | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 30 | 16.7% | 23.3% | 30.0% | 160.0% | 9 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Total | 84 | 14.3% | 21.4% | 33.3% | 126.0% | 29 | 17.2% | 24.1% | 44.8% | 78.6% |
▶ Yutaka Take
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | 22.2% | 44.4% | 44.4% | 83.3% | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 221.2% |
| 2024 | 24 | 12.5% | 29.2% | 45.8% | 105.8% | 14 | 14.3% | 21.4% | 42.9% | 92.9% |
| 2025 | 17 | 5.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 47.1% | 23 | 17.4% | 21.7% | 39.1% | 167.0% |
| Total | 50 | 12.0% | 26.0% | 34.0% | 81.8% | 45 | 17.8% | 24.4% | 40.0% | 153.6% |
▶ Junya Nishimura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 12 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 40.0% | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 50.0% | 68.8% |
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 9 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 44.4% | 16.7% |
| Total | 20 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 25.0% | 24.0% | 21 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 42.9% | 33.3% |
▶ Kenichi Ikezoe
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 12 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 51.7% | — | ||||
| 2025 | 7 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 20 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 31.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Manabu Sakai
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2024 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 13 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 15 | 0.0% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
▶ Yasunari Iwata
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Christophe Lemaire
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | — | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2025 | — | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| Total | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 7 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
▶ 太宰啓介
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
▶ 西谷誠
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
▶ Hiroki Ishikawa
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | — | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
▶ 国分優作
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| Total | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yutaka Take | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenichi Ikezoe | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 11 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 146.4% |
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Total | 20 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 80.5% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 322.0% |
| Yutaka Take | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Junya Nishimura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenichi Ikezoe | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasunari Iwata | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 0.0% | 9.1% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 9 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Total | 28 | 0.0% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norihiro Yokoyama | 8 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasunari Iwata | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yutaka Take | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Junya Nishimura | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.