Trainer Tanaka Katsunori Complete Betting Guide【2023-2025 JRA Data Analysis】

Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters

Trainer Tanaka Katsunori Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】

3-year combined win ROI: 78.0%. Turf 43% / Dirt 57% split. 2026 active jockeys: 亀田温心 Yuichi Kitamura Nobuyuki Yoshimura 国分恭介 Nozomi Iwata Keita Tosaki Takeshi Yokoyama 荻野極 菅原明良.

※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.

🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals

Top Pick: ROI 100%+Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m102 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 5.9%Place%: 9.8%Show%: 15.7%ROI: 41.1%
💡 Overall ROI 41.1%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 13 7.7% 7.7% 15.4% 86.2%
Turf1401~1800m75 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 14.7%Place%: 25.3%Show%: 30.7%ROI: 97.1%
💡 Overall ROI 97.1%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
× Yuichi Kitamura 18 11.1% 22.2% 22.2% 26.1%
Turf1801~2200m85 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 12.9%Place%: 22.4%Show%: 34.1%ROI: 87.2%
💡 Yuichi Kitamura stand out with ROI of 168.6%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 34.1% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 7 42.9% 57.1% 57.1% 168.6%
× Nobuyuki Yoshimura 5 20.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Turf2201m+37 starts / ◎0 ○0
Win%: 24.3%Place%: 45.9%Show%: 54.1%ROI: 81.4%
💡 Overall ROI 81.4%. No ◎/○ jockeys among active riders. Consider Place/Wide bets only.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
No data for 2026 active jockeys
Dirt~1400m155 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 9.7%Place%: 19.4%Show%: 26.5%ROI: 88.5%
💡 Yuichi Kitamura stand out with ROI of 183.8%. Primary win bet candidates.亀田温心 also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 26.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 21 9.5% 19.0% 28.6% 183.8%
亀田温心 8 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 87.5%
Dirt1401~1800m193 starts / ◎1 ○0
Win%: 11.9%Place%: 22.8%Show%: 33.2%ROI: 67.0%
💡 亀田温心 stand out with ROI of 290.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 33.2% is high — effective as place anchor.
Rating Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
亀田温心 7 57.1% 71.4% 71.4% 290.0%
× Takeshi Yokoyama 6 16.7% 33.3% 33.3% 50.0%
× Yuichi Kitamura 20 15.0% 20.0% 35.0% 45.5%

※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.

⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy

Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.

🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Dirt 1401~1800m

◎ Jockeys: 亀田温心 (290.0%)

Overall ROI 67.0% / Show rate 33.2%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Dirt ~1400m

◎ Jockeys: Yuichi Kitamura (183.8%)

Overall ROI 88.5% / Show rate 26.5%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Turf 1801~2200m

◎ Jockeys: Yuichi Kitamura (168.6%)

Overall ROI 87.2% / Show rate 34.1%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.

💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.

⚫ Conditions to Avoid

  • Turf ~1400m (overall ROI 41.1%): No ◎/○ jockeys. Place/Wide only.

📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist

Jockey Best Condition Best ROI Overall ROI Recommended Bet
Nobuyuki Yoshimura Turf 1401~1800m 620.0% 91.1% Win+Place
亀田温心 Turf 1401~1800m 600.0% 178.6% Win◎
Keita Tosaki Turf 1801~2200m 440.0% 146.7% Place only
Yuichi Kitamura Dirt ~1400m 183.8% 95.5% Win+Place
Nozomi Iwata Dirt ~1400m 130.0% 48.8% Place only
Takeshi Yokoyama Dirt 1401~1800m 50.0% 37.5% Place only
国分恭介 0% 0.0% Place only
菅原明良 0% 0.0% Place only

📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)

Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.

Overall Performance by Year

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 236 13.1% 22.9% 30.9% 92.8%
2024 223 13.0% 22.4% 30.5% 98.3%
2025 238 9.2% 18.9% 27.3% 44.4%
Total 697 11.8% 21.4% 29.6% 78.0%

Turf Performance by Year × Distance

Turf Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 48 6.2% 10.4% 14.6% 30.4%
2024 29 6.9% 6.9% 13.8% 63.8%
2025 25 4.0% 12.0% 20.0% 35.2%

Turf Mile (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 30 20.0% 36.7% 46.7% 149.7%
2024 16 12.5% 18.8% 18.8% 46.2%
2025 29 10.3% 17.2% 20.7% 70.7%

Turf Middle (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 15 13.3% 26.7% 33.3% 73.3%
2024 30 16.7% 26.7% 40.0% 160.0%
2025 40 10.0% 17.5% 30.0% 37.8%

Turf Long (2201m+)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 6 33.3% 66.7% 83.3% 193.3%
2024 16 31.2% 62.5% 75.0% 81.9%
2025 15 13.3% 20.0% 20.0% 36.0%

Dirt Performance by Year × Distance

Dirt Sprint (~1400m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 57 10.5% 22.8% 28.1% 115.4%
2024 55 9.1% 16.4% 25.5% 74.9%
2025 43 9.3% 18.6% 25.6% 70.2%

Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 59 11.9% 18.6% 28.8% 60.8%
2024 63 14.3% 25.4% 33.3% 112.2%
2025 71 9.9% 23.9% 36.6% 32.1%

Dirt Long (1801~2200m)

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 19 26.3% 31.6% 47.4% 185.3%
2024 14 7.1% 14.3% 14.3% 145.0%
2025 14 7.1% 14.3% 14.3% 20.7%

Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)

Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 82 14.6% 22.0% 29.3% 95.5%
亀田温心 22 27.3% 31.8% 31.8% 178.6%
Nobuyuki Yoshimura 9 22.2% 33.3% 33.3% 91.1%
Takeshi Yokoyama 8 12.5% 25.0% 25.0% 37.5%
Nozomi Iwata 8 25.0% 25.0% 37.5% 48.8%
国分恭介 7 0.0% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0%
Keita Tosaki 3 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 146.7%
菅原明良 2 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 0.0%

Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year

▶ Yuichi Kitamura

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 9 0.0% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 14 7.1% 14.3% 35.7% 120.0%
2024 15 20.0% 26.7% 33.3% 105.3% 12 25.0% 33.3% 41.7% 75.8%
2025 15 20.0% 26.7% 26.7% 79.3% 17 11.8% 17.6% 23.5% 145.3%
Total 39 15.4% 23.1% 25.6% 71.0% 43 14.0% 20.9% 32.6% 117.7%

▶ 亀田温心

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 350.0%
2024 7 28.6% 42.9% 42.9% 182.9%
2025 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 240.0% 8 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 93.8%
Total 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 240.0% 17 29.4% 35.3% 35.3% 160.6%

▶ Nobuyuki Yoshimura

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024
2025 6 33.3% 50.0% 50.0% 136.7% 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 6 33.3% 50.0% 50.0% 136.7% 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

▶ Takeshi Yokoyama

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024
2025 6 16.7% 33.3% 33.3% 50.0%
Total 8 12.5% 25.0% 25.0% 37.5%

▶ Nozomi Iwata

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4 50.0% 50.0% 75.0% 97.5%
Total 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5 40.0% 40.0% 60.0% 78.0%

▶ 国分恭介

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023
2024 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 0.0%
Total 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4 0.0% 25.0% 25.0% 0.0%

▶ Keita Tosaki

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 2 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 220.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024
2025
Total 2 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 220.0% 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

▶ 菅原明良

Year Turf Starts Turf Win% Turf Place% Turf Show% Turf ROI Dirt Starts Dirt Win% Dirt Place% Dirt Show% Dirt ROI
2023 1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
2024
2025 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 2 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 0.0%

Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)

G1

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2025 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

G2

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2024 6 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0%
2025 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 10 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0%

G3

Year Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
2023 4 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
2024 5 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 156.0%
2025 3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total 12 8.3% 8.3% 25.0% 65.0%
Jockey Starts Win% Place% Show% Win ROI
Yuichi Kitamura 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.

※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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