Data period: 2023–2025 (JRA) / Target jockeys: 2026 active riders only / Win ROI = theoretical return per ¥100 bet on all starters
Trainer Uehara Yuki Complete Betting Guide【2023–2025 JRA Data Analysis】
3-year combined win ROI: 88.9%. Turf 61% / Dirt 39% split. 2026 active jockeys: Keita Tosaki Akihide Tsumura Osamu Ishibashi 荻野極 菅原明良.
※ Signal ratings apply only to jockeys with 2026 riding records at this stable.
🚦 Distance-Based Betting Signals
◎Top Pick: ROI 100%+○Strong: ROI 80%+ & WinRate 8%+▲Watch: ROI 60%+ & WinRate 6%+×Avoid
Turf~1400m107 starts / ◎1 ○1
Win%: 14.0%Place%: 22.4%Show%: 28.0%ROI: 106.1%
💡 荻野極 stand out with ROI of 142.7%. Primary win bet candidates.菅原明良 also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 28.0% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 荻野極 | 11 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 27.3% | 142.7% |
| ○ | 菅原明良 | 9 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 82.2% |
| × | Osamu Ishibashi | 13 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
Turf1401~1800m154 starts / ◎3 ○0
Win%: 12.3%Place%: 24.7%Show%: 35.7%ROI: 101.1%
💡 菅原明良・Akihide Tsumura・荻野極 stand out with ROI of 350.0%・291.4%・102.0%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 35.7% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 菅原明良 | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 350.0% |
| ◎ | Akihide Tsumura | 7 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 71.4% | 291.4% |
| ◎ | 荻野極 | 15 | 13.3% | 33.3% | 46.7% | 102.0% |
| × | Keita Tosaki | 13 | 15.4% | 38.5% | 46.2% | 29.2% |
| × | Osamu Ishibashi | 26 | 3.8% | 11.5% | 23.1% | 15.8% |
Turf1801~2200m86 starts / ◎2 ○0
Win%: 9.3%Place%: 16.3%Show%: 24.4%ROI: 110.5%
💡 荻野極・Osamu Ishibashi stand out with ROI of 213.3%・165.8%. Primary win bet candidates.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 24.4% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 荻野極 | 12 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 213.3% |
| ◎ | Osamu Ishibashi | 12 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 33.3% | 165.8% |
Turf2201m+41 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 2.4%Place%: 19.5%Show%: 29.3%ROI: 20.0%
💡 荻野極 also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 29.3% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | 荻野極 | 9 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 91.1% |
| × | Osamu Ishibashi | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Dirt~1400m113 starts / ◎2 ○1
Win%: 12.4%Place%: 29.2%Show%: 36.3%ROI: 127.6%
💡 Osamu Ishibashi・荻野極 stand out with ROI of 271.0%・118.0%. Primary win bet candidates.Keita Tosaki also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is on a slight downward trend. Overall show rate 36.3% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Osamu Ishibashi | 29 | 10.3% | 17.2% | 27.6% | 271.0% |
| ◎ | 荻野極 | 15 | 20.0% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 118.0% |
| ○ | Keita Tosaki | 6 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 96.7% |
| × | Akihide Tsumura | 10 | 20.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% |
Dirt1401~1800m123 starts / ◎0 ○1
Win%: 9.8%Place%: 21.1%Show%: 28.5%ROI: 40.9%
💡 荻野極 also show solid stats for win or place bets.ROI is stable. Overall show rate 28.5% is high — effective as place anchor.
| Rating | Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ○ | 荻野極 | 10 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 82.0% |
| ▲ | Keita Tosaki | 8 | 25.0% | 75.0% | 87.5% | 60.0% |
| × | Osamu Ishibashi | 18 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 16.7% | 54.4% |
※ Jockeys with fewer than 5 starts excluded. Target jockeys limited to 2026 active riders.
⚡ Trainer Betting Strategy
Actionable betting scenarios based on 2026 active jockey data.
🔴 Scenario A【Top Priority】 Turf 1401~1800m
◎ Jockeys: 菅原明良 (350.0%)・Akihide Tsumura (291.4%)・荻野極 (102.0%)
Overall ROI 101.1% / Show rate 35.7%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario B【Secondary】 Dirt ~1400m
◎ Jockeys: Osamu Ishibashi (271.0%)・荻野極 (118.0%)
Overall ROI 127.6% / Show rate 36.3%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
🟡 Scenario C【Secondary】 Turf 1801~2200m
◎ Jockeys: 荻野極 (213.3%)・Osamu Ishibashi (165.8%)
Overall ROI 110.5% / Show rate 24.4%. Bet aggressively when ◎ jockeys confirmed.
💰 Recommended: Win + Place. For long-shot ◎ jockeys, go heavier on Place/Wide.
📋 Jockey Substitution Checklist
| Jockey | Best Condition | Best ROI | Overall ROI | Recommended Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akihide Tsumura | Turf 1801~2200m | 390.0% | 130.0% | Win◎ |
| 菅原明良 | Turf 1401~1800m | 350.0% | 113.6% | Win◎ |
| Osamu Ishibashi | Dirt ~1400m | 271.0% | 106.0% | Win◎ |
| 荻野極 | Turf 1801~2200m | 213.3% | 126.0% | Win◎ |
| Keita Tosaki | Turf 1801~2200m | 105.0% | 53.2% | Place only |
📊 Data Details (Supporting Evidence)
Detailed stats supporting the signal ratings above.
Overall Performance by Year
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 143 | 11.2% | 18.9% | 24.5% | 133.6% |
| 2024 | 244 | 10.7% | 21.7% | 31.6% | 97.5% |
| 2025 | 251 | 10.8% | 25.1% | 33.5% | 55.0% |
| Total | 638 | 10.8% | 22.4% | 30.7% | 88.9% |
Turf Performance by Year × Distance
Turf Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 35 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 22.9% | 115.4% |
| 2024 | 45 | 15.6% | 26.7% | 35.6% | 89.8% |
| 2025 | 27 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 22.2% | 121.1% |
Turf Mile (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 51 | 13.7% | 23.5% | 31.4% | 97.5% |
| 2024 | 55 | 7.3% | 21.8% | 34.5% | 132.5% |
| 2025 | 48 | 16.7% | 29.2% | 41.7% | 69.0% |
Turf Middle (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 291.0% |
| 2024 | 30 | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 125.7% |
| 2025 | 46 | 8.7% | 19.6% | 30.4% | 61.3% |
Turf Long (2201m+)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 20 | 5.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 0.0% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
Dirt Performance by Year × Distance
Dirt Sprint (~1400m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | 10.5% | 31.6% | 42.1% | 326.8% |
| 2024 | 44 | 15.9% | 22.7% | 29.5% | 138.4% |
| 2025 | 50 | 10.0% | 34.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% |
Dirt Middle (1401~1800m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 46.7% |
| 2024 | 46 | 8.7% | 19.6% | 30.4% | 38.5% |
| 2025 | 56 | 12.5% | 28.6% | 35.7% | 40.7% |
Dirt Long (1801~2200m)
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jockey Stats (3-Year Combined / 2026 Active Only)
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osamu Ishibashi | 106 | 6.6% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 106.0% |
| 荻野極 | 72 | 16.7% | 30.6% | 36.1% | 126.0% |
| Keita Tosaki | 31 | 22.6% | 51.6% | 61.3% | 53.2% |
| 菅原明良 | 25 | 8.0% | 24.0% | 28.0% | 113.6% |
| Akihide Tsumura | 23 | 30.4% | 52.2% | 56.5% | 130.0% |
Key Jockey Breakdown: Turf × Dirt × Year
▶ Osamu Ishibashi
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 15 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 457.3% |
| 2024 | 19 | 5.3% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 8.9% | 23 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 30.4% | 86.1% |
| 2025 | 15 | 13.3% | 26.7% | 40.0% | 148.7% | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 56 | 5.4% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 42.9% | 50 | 8.0% | 12.0% | 26.0% | 176.8% |
▶ 荻野極
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | ||||
| 2024 | 19 | 21.1% | 36.8% | 47.4% | 246.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 27 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 25.9% | 66.7% | 20 | 25.0% | 45.0% | 45.0% | 129.5% |
| Total | 47 | 14.9% | 25.5% | 34.0% | 137.9% | 25 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 103.6% |
▶ Keita Tosaki
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 8 | 12.5% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 210.0% |
| 2025 | 7 | 28.6% | 42.9% | 71.4% | 55.7% | 12 | 25.0% | 58.3% | 66.7% | 53.3% |
| Total | 16 | 18.8% | 43.8% | 56.2% | 36.9% | 15 | 26.7% | 60.0% | 66.7% | 70.7% |
▶ 菅原明良
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 18.2% | 36.4% | 36.4% | 258.2% | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 17 | 11.8% | 29.4% | 35.3% | 167.1% | 8 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
▶ Akihide Tsumura
| Year | Turf Starts | Turf Win% | Turf Place% | Turf Show% | Turf ROI | Dirt Starts | Dirt Win% | Dirt Place% | Dirt Show% | Dirt ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | ||||||||
| 2024 | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 74.0% |
| 2025 | 7 | 71.4% | 71.4% | 85.7% | 347.1% | 9 | 11.1% | 55.6% | 55.6% | 21.1% |
| Total | 9 | 55.6% | 55.6% | 66.7% | 270.0% | 14 | 14.3% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% |
Grade Race Performance (G1 / G2 / G3)
G1
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | ||||
| 2024 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osamu Ishibashi | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G2
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% | 205.0% |
| Total | 7 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 42.9% | 58.6% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osamu Ishibashi | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 205.0% |
| 荻野極 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
G3
| Year | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 8 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 48.8% |
| Total | 18 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 16.7% | 21.7% |
| Jockey | Starts | Win% | Place% | Show% | Win ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 荻野極 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Osamu Ishibashi | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Akihide Tsumura | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 390.0% |
※ Extreme ROI values may reflect small samples with high-dividend races. Treat data with fewer than 10 starts as reference only.
※ This data is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.