86th Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) — Workout Analysis 2026
── Pre-race gallop × Week-prior × Current week × WHGR × S/A-rank Stable Signals ──
Sunday, April 19, 2026 · Nakayama 11R · Turf 2000m · 18 runners · Post 15:40 · G1 Classic
1. Pre-race Gallop (Friday 4/18) ── 7 of 18 runners completed
Of the 18 runners, 11 are Ritto-based and their absence from the Miho pre-race gallop is physically expected (long-distance travel) — no penalty applied. All 7 Miho-based runners completed Friday gallops. However, all showed deceleration laps, consistent with a final check/light conditioning session rather than a competitive effort. #15 Realize Sirius posted the fastest time at 14.5 sec among the group.
Pre-race Gallop Results (Friday 4/18 · Miho)
| Rank | # | Horse | 4F | Lap | Jockey (Stable) | WHGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 15 | Realize Sirius | 14.5 | Decel | Tsumura (Tezuka S) | ±0 · |
| 2nd | 6 | Forte Angelo | 14.7 | Decel | Ogino | +100 ◎ |
| 3rd | 14 | Zoroastro | 14.8 | Decel | Iwata Yukito | ±0 · |
| 6th | 11 | Pantournaive | 15.8 | Decel | Lemaire (Kimura S) | ±0 · |
Pre-race gallop ranking reflects Friday conditioning, not the main workout. The decisive data is the current-week timed workout. #11 Pantournaive’s slope 12.2 sec + wood final furlong 11.3 sec represent the highest quality finish of any runner in this field.
2. Prior Week vs. Current Week ── Readiness Comparison
Steady-type ★★★ (slope) + Steady-type ★★★ (wood) — Double confirmation, highest tier:
#11 Pantournaive — Slope 13.0→12.2 (Steady ★★★ + Absolute clockwork ★★★). Wood prior week 1F 11.3s → current week 1F 11.3s (Steady ★★★). Pre-race gallop completed. Kimura S-rank signal triggered (wood 1F 11.0–11.4s). Lemaire.
#15 Realize Sirius — Slope 12.4→12.8 (Steady ★★★). Wood current week 1F 11.1s (fastest in field). Pre-race gallop fastest. Tezuka S-rank signal triggered (wood 1F ≤11.3s). Tsumura.
Main workout completed in wood (slope used for conditioning):
#4 Rob Chien — Slope in easy-gallop mode (light adjustment). Wood 4/15: W3F 37.5 / 1F 11.3s — main workout confirmed. Prior week 4/8: 1F 11.1s strong work also on record. Sugiyama A-rank signal triggered (wood 1F 11.0–11.3s). Matsuyama.
B+ tier (strong workout, short on WHGR / stable signal):
#14 Zoroastro — Slope 12.9→12.6 (Steady ★★★) + Wood 1F 11.2s + pre-race gallop. Three-axis support.
#10 Large Ensemble — Slope 12.9→12.6 (Steady ★★★) + Wood 1F 11.5s + pre-race gallop.
Downgraded — below G1 standard:
#17 Admire Quads — WHGR +200★★ and slope Steady ★★★ are noted, but current-week wood 1F 13.9s falls well below G1 standard. Tomichi S-rank’s proven method is to peak through wood workouts. That wood was not delivered. Excluded from recommendations.
3. Overall Assessment
| # | Horse | Pre-Gallop | Workout | WHGR | Jockey / Stable | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pantournaive | ○ 15.8s | Slope Steady★★★ + ABS★★★ Wood Steady★★★ (1F 11.3s) |
±0 · | Lemaire Kimura S-rank signal triggered |
AA |
| 15 | Realize Sirius | ○ 14.5s★fastest | Slope Steady★★★ Wood Steady★★★ (1F 11.1s★field best) |
±0 · | Tsumura Tezuka S-rank signal triggered |
A |
| 4 | Rob Chien | Travel | Slope easy-gallop (adjust) Wood 4/15: 1F 11.3s★main workout done |
±0 · | Matsuyama Sugiyama A-rank signal triggered |
A |
| 14 | Zoroastro | ○ 14.8s | Slope Steady★★★ + ABS★★ Wood Steady★★★ (1F 11.2s) |
±0 · | Iwata Yukito | B+ |
| 10 | Large Ensemble | ○ 15.3s | Slope Steady★★★ + ABS★★ Wood Steady★★★ (1F 11.5s) |
±0 · | Takasug | B+ |
| 8 | Matenro Gale | Travel | Slope Gain★★ (−2.1s) ABS Clockwork ★★★ |
+100 ◎ | Yokoyama K. | B+ |
| 17 | Admire Quads | Travel | Slope Steady★★★ Wood 1F 13.9s — below G1 standard |
+200 ★★ | Sakai (Tomichi S) | B (wood heavy) |
Conclusion
1. #11 Pantournaive (Lemaire / Kimura Tetsuya S-rank) — Slope 13.0→12.2 (Steady ★★★ + Absolute clockwork ★★★). Wood prior week 1F 11.3s → current week 1F 11.3s (perfect Steady ★★★). Both slope and wood confirm peak readiness. Kimura S-rank signal “wood 1F 11.0–11.4s” fully triggered. Pre-race gallop completed + Lemaire aboard. WHGR ±0 is the only weakness, but workout quality is the highest among all 18 runners.
2. #15 Realize Sirius (Tsumura / Tezuka Takahisa S-rank) — Wood 1F 11.1s (field best) + pre-race gallop fastest + slope Steady ★★★. Tezuka S-rank signal “wood 1F ≤11.3s” triggered. WHGR ±0 but workout quality matches the top pick. G1 value runner.
3. #4 Rob Chien (Matsuyama / Sugiyama Haruki A-rank) — Slope in easy-gallop mode but wood 4/15 produced 1F 11.3s main workout. Prior week 4/8 also confirmed 1F 11.1s strong effort. Sugiyama A-rank signal triggered. Matsuyama on board for the Kanto classic.
Include. #14 Zoroastro (Iwata Yukito) — Slope + wood both Steady ★★★, pre-race gallop completed. Top-tier B+ as inclusion candidate.
Betting Structure
◎ Win #11 (1 ticket)
◎ Place #11 (1 ticket)
※ G1 competition level is the highest. Minimum 2-ticket win+place structure recommended.
Workout data sourced from JRA-VAN Data Lab.
This report does not constitute betting advice. Wager at your own risk.
White & Green Co., Ltd. / TigerProtocol WHGR System v2.1